Current temps are slightly above 30yr avg. But the forecast has em sinking down to just below avg in the next 2 weeks. I'm gonna guess Whistler opening Nov 20.
according to that article there's a little more below average ocean temperatures off the coast of the northwest then the 1997 el nino.
i still think my prediction will be the correct one. el nino cancels out the blobs and the northwest gets a normal winter and california gets huge amounts of snow.
i still think my prediction will be the correct one. el nino cancels out the blobs and the northwest gets a normal winter and california gets huge amounts of snow.
A couple of bad seasons do not make for a permanent trend. The worst decade on record for the PNW was by far the 1940's and we haven't experienced anything like that since. Forecasts are already predicting the winter to follow this one to be a big one, but any normal el nino year, especially if it turns out to be similar to 1997 as they keep saying would still yield us 300+ inches in my area (snoqualmie pass) which isn't all bad. Better then the less then 100" we had last season.
Eh, all they said was that the average across all El Ninos was 300". Doesn't mean much for this year either way. All we know is warmer and dryer than average.
Snoqualmie pass always seems so borderline, that even a few degrees above normal means above melting most of the time. I got a pass there this year but my hopes are not high for opening by January.
It's only suppose to be a half a degree above normal. It seemed plenty precipitation last season just too warm, which obv caused rain. As long as it's a little colder we will prob get 350-400" at Stevens and crystal.
:dunno:
Well,.. Can't say about the PNW, but I actually saw snow falling here today!!! :jumping1: Mixed in with some rain n sleet, but to see any snow this early,..?
I choose to see that as a good omen! (...radar showed they actually got some real, wide spread snowfall up north. Doubt it was enough to stick, but still a good sign!) :cheer: :jumping1:
i wouldn't entirely bank on an el nino bringing less than average snowfall because some places in the northwest (i think mt baker was one of them) got above average snowfall during the biggest el nino on record (1997)
I think you are correct, been trying to find historical snowfall data and this is the best site I found. 97/98 was a pretty good year from what I remember.
Not really, that forecast is nowhere near any resort and at 3x the elevation of the resorts here.
Every year someone posts monster forecasts for Mount Baker, not understanding that it's nowhere near the ski area of the same name.
They need at LEAST 30" of settled base to open a couple runs, and it's still really shitty in those conditions. Snow level is supposed to go back up on Friday with rain and temps in the low 40s, so this will melt.
Pay no attention to that. Those numbers are completely random and "projected" by that site, not scheduled. PNW resorts open when the snow comes and unlike most areas all that snow can easily come in one storm. Baker can and regularly does get 3 feet in a single storm.
Those dates are not accurate, they are predictions and probably based on the winter we had last year and the kind of summer/fall we had this year. No rain and warmer weather equals, dry winter. However, last weekend, some of the resorts had 10-20" of snow. If the winter storm lays down another 10-20", the resorts will open before thanksgiving day.
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